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If you don't shit, you die..
In a family of twenty, when one person stops shitting in their backyard, the difference isn't noticeable. Down the track, the non-shitter falls sick. For everybody else, the importance of shitting is reinforced.
Let's get the facts right:
The science in climate change is not real. What is real is that a majority of scientists agree on the science. What this means is that the science is more likely to be right. In all communities there is a suppression of minority opinion. However, science advances the most when it listens to those who disagree. We need to recognise that some scientists disagree and cherish that disagreement.
The models used to predict the effect of carbon are not science. They are technology, the application of science and mathematics. Models are gross simplifications of reality. It is very easy to get complex models wrong. Even when a particular model works in one instance, it is not proof that it will prove correct in another instance. On the other had, when a model doesn't work in one instance, it does prove that the model is weak. While short range weather forecasts are based on proven models, so far, climate change models haven't worked.
Economists haven't said that an ETS is the best way to reduce carbon emissions. What they have said is that a global ETS is the best way to reduce carbon emissions. Economists agree with the shitting parable above. Economists have also said that between Abbot's and Gillard's proposals, Gillard's is the lesser of two evils.
The National Politics
Gillard knifed Rudd to grab the top job. To keep the job, she promised the Greens a carbon tax, thereby knifing her back-benchers, the majority of whom are unlikely to get re-elected. Is there a pattern?
The International Politics
In negotiating targets with developing nations, there are two critical issues they won't let the west bamboozle them on:
More importantly, Gore, Gillard and Rudd are white middle class suburbanites. The real world lives in the slums of Kandahar, Darfur and Dhaka. Their priorities are war, female literacy and mosquitoes.
Our Grandchildren's Inheritance
The Carbon tax is not going to make one iota of difference to whether our grandchildren have a Great Barrier Reef. What it will achieve is a rapid exodus of Australian manufacturing. Australia, the land of solar roofs, manufactured in China. Australia, the overseas-owned quarry.
Turning off the Heat
If we are really concerned about climate change, then we should stop spouting hot air disguised as logical scientific arguments. It only drives up the temperature.
PS My apologies to anyone I offend with this acerbic style. Often, the pleasure of crafting a sharp barb blinds me to the effect it has on flesh and blood.