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What if ...? Solving the Iran stand-offby Craig Rowley I have been mulling over a question or two. Make that a whole series of questions. They are '"What if ..." questions. They are not messy and futile backward looking "What if ..." questions of the "toothpaste back into the tube" type. They are future focused, solution focused questions that ask what if we could do something, what if we did this or something like it or something else. What if we could work through a problem together? The Iranian regime has a nuclear program. It includes several research sites, a uranium mine, a nuclear reactor, and uranium processing facilities that include a uranium enrichment plant. Iran claims it is using the technology for peaceful purposes. The United States, however, makes the allegation that the program is part of a drive to develop nuclear weapons. A nuclear program for peaceful purposes, even one involving the enrichment of uranium, is allowed under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), whilst a nuclear weapons development program is not. And therein lies the nub of the problem. In the last weeks of last year the UN Security Council approved economic sanctions on Iran. If Tehran fails to comply with resolution 1737 by the end of a 60-day deadline that the UN imposed, the Security Council will consider new measures. What if the Iranian regime fails to comply? In a few weeks time the 35 members of the Board of Governors of the United Nation's nuclear monitoring body, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), will meet in Vienna and review the reports compiled by their inspection teams. They need to decide whether Iran has taken the steps required by their resolution GOV/2006/14, steps "which are essential to build confidence in the exclusively peaceful purpose of its nuclear programme." The IAEA will then make its report to the UN Security Council on Iran’s nuclear activities. What if the IAEA reports that Iran failed to comply with their resolution and thereby Security Council resolution 1737? What then? What is the next move for the Security Council? Coercive diplomacy seems to have been the strategy so far. That was reflected in the first Security Council resolution on Iran in response to its nuclear programme. In June 2006, acting under Article 40 of Chapter VII of the United Nations in order to make mandatory the IAEA requirement that Iran suspend its uranium enrichment activities, the Security Council issued resolution 1696 threatening Iran with economic sanctions in case of non-compliance. Resolution 1696 avoided any implication that use of force may be warranted. Exercise of that option, the use of force, was premature. Resolution 1737 did not include a clear statement that use of force would be warranted in case of non-compliance. With Resolution 1737 the Security Council affirmed only that it shall review Iran’s actions in the light of the IAEA’s report and:
The Security Council could continue with the current sanctions and set a new deadline with an explicit threat attached. What if it does so? What is likely to happen after that? The Security Council could authorise additional and more punitive sanctions. What if it did this? What is likely to happen in this scenario? And though unlikely at this stage, the Security Council could ultimately authorise action more punitive, more violent, than the use of sanctions. What if it does? As we enter dialogue and together consider these questions, and in all likelihood the assumptions on which each of us base our answers to these questions, I hope we can look to the possibility of a positive outcome. As we’ve been discussing the issues in Ceasefire and I’ve been keeping myself informed, learning what I can about the issues raised and considering everything constructive that I’ve come across during that time, I chanced upon some old Persian wisdom: “Epigrams succeed where epics fail.” So what if we keep this in mind: People make peace. What if a way could be found, with the help of any people who want to find a way, a way without war, a firm and fair way to have Iran take those steps needed for it to be taken off America's state-sponsors-of-terrorism list without anyone being wiped of any map? What if we considered what Albert Einstein said about the menace of mass destruction?
- Albert Einstein, 'The Menace of Mass Destruction', in Out of My Later Years. What if we did compare our situation to one of a menacing epidemic? What if conscientious and expert, intelligent, objective and humane thinking persons were brought together to work out an intelligent plan to solve this problem? I’ve been mulling over these questions. Most of all I’ve have in mind a couple prompted by a quote by John Ralston Saul that Margo Kingston used to open the final chapter of Not Happy, John! That quote is: “If we believe in democracy you have to believe in the power of the citizen – there is no such thing as abstract democracy.” And the questions I mostly think about now are these: What if we, as the citizens of free democracies and the peoples seeking a democratic future, believed in our power? What if we exercised our real power, did not unthinkingly leave these problems entirely to the powers that be, and could work through our problems together? [ category: ]
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Leaps and bounds.
G'day Craig, this thread sure is wandering, as they tend to. However, where it might be understandable for some to mistake Iraq for Iran - a matter of one letter at the end of the names and they are neighbours - Venezuela is quite a leap. Then there is the bounding past the 1953 coup, either ignoring it or, when reminded (again) claiming the aftermath was nothing to do with the US. Here is one account of US involvement. The internet is chockful of material on the matter.
On the matter of "Anyway, the resumption of diplomatic relations between Iran and Iraq would be a pre-requisite for any negotiations between them" does anyone recall seeing previously linked material (such as on Cease Fire!) about the Iranian ambassador to Iraq or reports of the kidnapping recently of the second secretary of the Iranian Embassy in Baghdad? Ambassador, embassy ....
Now to some article about the US/Iran issue.
First, Stephen Zunes from Foreign Policy in Focus.
Philip Giraldi from The American Conservative.
Robert Dreyfuss with Breakdown at the Iraq Lie Factory.
Just the start, here's another sample:
The magic is wearing off, except, perhaps,for a few like Michael Gordon.
On the matter of media and Administrations - Carl Bernstein.
Will they ever apologise for those lies? And for actions taken on the back of them?
How about a statement?
Well, to date, 121 comments have been made and not a single word that has been written will have any effect on whether or not the U.S. or Israel drops some nukes on Iran.
Why don't we come up with a strongly worded statement voicing our extreme opposition to the use of nukes and the use of war to solve problems? (Getting agreement on the wording of such a statement will probably cause a few rapes and murders but that is the price you pay for your beliefs).
Once a statement is agreed to, we could all provide our names and email addresses and send it to Washington c/o Pelosi of the Democrats, the ones who are supposed to be running America now.
That way, we have actually achieved something and actually done something positive rather than continue with this academic talk-fest!
P.S. We could call ourselves the Webdiary Brotherhood and use a Head on a Pike as our symbol to show we mean business!
Let's start drafting that Statement Daniel
Let's start drafting the Statement please Daniel. I'm keen to see a first draft, talk through issues that may require revision of the draft, etc.
Two issues for me at the outset with your synopsis of the statement's potential content, but we can work through these issues if you're keen to get our signatures on the same statement.
First, I see a need to take care with the words selected. "Extreme opposition", for example, I don't like. I'll not sign up to anything that in effect is stating it is from a group of extremists. I'm not voicing "extreme opposition" to anything and in this case I'm voicing an opposition I hold in common with the real majority - moderate peace-seeking communities across the globe. There is nothing extreme about it.
Second, I disagree on the ideas you put in a post script. To me it's best that we call ourselves, each person, by our own legal name. And there is no need for a distracting symbol, especially one "to show we mean business!" The number of signatures on the statement is all the symbolism needed.
But as I say, these are issues we can work through in drafting the Statement. I'm looking forward to seeing the first draft Daniel. Great suggestion.
PS If you need some examples to energise the effort to draft this Statement check out these protest letters against nuclear tests.
PPS IMHO, the Statement that we support peaceful resolution of the standoff should make it clear the signatories are not writing in support of the Iranian regime.
Several drafts?
I'll start work on it in the morning, Craig. Perhaps a few others could also submit a proposal. Then we can extract the better points from each and come up with a proposal that can be fine-tuned.
I also think you can be extremely opposed to something without being an extremist.Try to imagine an extreme pacifist if you can! Would Gandhi be considered an extremist?
P.S. My P.S. was meant to be ironical (although John Howard's head on a pike does sound appealing).
Yes, good idea - several drafts
Daniel, I know what you mean by "extremely opposed" and I know it isn't meant to signify the same things as the word "extremist", but there are better words that avoid the risk of others making (in some cases deliberate) misinterpretation of what you mean. The issue is that "extremely" from "extreme" also means excessive, radical, fanatical, zealous, immodest, intemperate, etc; or thrilling, risky, exciting, etc. We want to signify "opposition of the highest degree", yes? Consider "utmost", "complete", "total" or "absolute".
Peace not War. First draft.
TO NANCY PELOSI, SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE OF CONGRESS AND MEMBER OF THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY.
We, the undersigned, citizens of Australia and members of Webdiary (an important, ethical internet site) following much serious debate and discussion, would like to make the following statement:
We are extremely concerned about the direction that the Middle East is heading in, especially the current military escalation, the movement of more naval forces towards the area, and the open talk about attacking both Syria and Iran, talk which is strongly rumoured to involve the use of horrific nuclear weapons. We believe that such actions could ignite a war between civilizations, one that might lead to the end of our world.
We feel that the use of military force to solve problems between nations is archaic and counterproductive as both history and the current fiasco in Iraq and Afghanistan have clearly demonstrated. We believe that the nations of the world, after 6000 years of war and chaos, need to choose a new direction. We need new thinking, new leadership.
>We would urge you, the Democratic Party, to stop the warmongering and imperialism of George Bush and the Executive Branch by all means and, showing innovative and insightful leadership, seek a new direction for America, one of peace, one of diplomacy, one based upon egalitarianism and compassion.
Such a change, we believe, will restore America’s image and lead it to once again occupy a place of honour and respect in the world rather than it being regarded by many world citizens with suspicion, hatred and fear.
We hope that you will take our statement seriously and, with your Party, act quickly before it is too late!
SIGNATURES.
P.S. Craig, this is only a starting point, I know. Hope it serves its intended purpose.
Some considerations for the 2nd draft
Daniel, I've given some thought to your first draft. Thanks for preparing it.
Overall, I like the essence of this first draft. There are just a few improvement suggestions I'll make.
First, it need not be addressed just to Nancy Pelosi. It could be an Open Letter to the 110th Congress, like this recent one by Mori Dinauer.
Another approach is to draft it so that it can be sent to all the leaders of the governments most involved in the situation.
We could also do an Open Letter to the American people like this one.
Second, I don't think it needs to be limited to the community engaged in conversations at Webdiary. It can be broader than that.
Finally, we could bring greater focus on peacemaking solutions by saying more about what "a new direction for America, one of peace, one of diplomacy, one based upon egalitarianism and compassion" would involve and also more about the gains to be made by taking that sensible direction.
Over to the Tribal Elders!
Craig, I haven't got the time or the inclination to spend hours and hours developing a statement that might, given the underwhelming response, be signed by you and me (with Geoff wanting to sign it as a dissident).
If one of the dozen or so Tribal Elders of Webdiary were to initiate aspects of my idea at some later stage, perhaps it would get some response! Of course, by then it might well be too late.
Keep up your good work! It can't be easy. Cheers!
That'll Show Them
"(an important, ethical internet site)"
Self-important, more likely. No doubt you will be leaving plenty of space for dissident signatories.
Iran still owes apology, and nothing has changed
Craig Rowley: "I haven't seen any statement by Ms Rice of that nature. Could you please point out where I it might be found so I wouldn't make the mistake of disbelieving you?"
Washington Post:
I would think the over throwing of democratically elected governments for the need of friendly ones would come under this description.
Now this still does not detract from the fact Iran should apologise for it's illegal act and de-facto declarition of war on a nation that has never fired a shot in anger at it. Until that time the two nations cannot have any relationship. This has been at least the official policy of all previous administrations.
The UN should handle any negotiations and the US is totally correct and totally within it's rights to ask they do so. The US should not under the present circumstances talk directly with Iran.
And until this situation is addressed (the illegal and international criminal act of taking over a embassy) you have a front to expect them to.
May be of interest
Like it or not, the US will have to accept a multipolar world. Around the three poles of Europe, India and South America, we could create a more balanced and democratic world order.
David Clark today in The Guardian:
Way back then....when rap music wasn't considered torture
Getting back to Craig's definition of torture for a moment, a definition which apprently doesn't include blindfolding, trussing and publicly humiliating civilian captives for years at a time, I thought it might be instructive to compare that with left wing Melbourne academnic Peter Singer's definition of torture over at the America the Hypocritical thread. Reporting on the horrors of Guantanamo Bay, Peter reports:
Okay. You got me there. Being subjected to rap music and walking around wrapped in an Israeli flag. That's pretty horrific stuff. I'd rather be bound and blindfolded for a year and a half at gunpoint anytime.
Craig Rowley: "An apology for overthrowing the democratically elected nationalist cabinet of Iranian Prime Minister Mohammed Mossadegh in 1953....."
Suddenly, 1980 seems very recent, doesn't it Angela?
Anyway, the resumption of diplomatic relations between Iran and Iraq would be a pre-requisite for any negotiations between them. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad must now regret his part in the stupid stunt, technically an act of war, that resulted in his nation closing down the American Embassy in Tehran. Mind you, it's taken 26 years for the Rial to finally drop through the slot, so that gives some idea of the intellectual calibre of the Ayranian leadership.
Craig Rowley: "What have you got against the Bush administration coming to the table with all the parties present to engage in multilateral negotiations to try and solve the immediate situation - the standoff over Iran's nuclear program?"
What have you got against the Ahmadinejad administration coming to the table with all the parties who actually have diplomatic relations with Iran. Why the "direct talks with the Great Satan" meme? What would the USA's principal interest in issue be that wasn't also of concern to, say, Russia? Or France? Apart that is from Iran's threat, of course, to remove Israel from the pages of history, it being a key American ally in the region? And even that's "open to dispute", isn't it? So why not multilateral negotiations indeed? Unless of course it's all just a propaganda stunt to big-note Mahmoud Ahmadinejad for the benefit of the Muslim world.
Iran owe an apology
Craig Rowley: "So too could an apology from the governments of the United States and the United Kingdom for their roles in the illegal Operation Ajax. An apology for overthrowing the democratically elected nationalist cabinet of Iranian Prime Minister Mohammed Mossadegh in 1953 could be helpful and perhaps too some compensation for the suffering (including brutal torture) of Iranians under Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, Shah of Iran and the man who styled himself Aryamehr (Light of the Aryans)."
To a large extent Ms Rice has already made clear some past US policy was a mistake. Though I do not think the US should apologise for anything the Shah did wrong. That is down to him.
The difference here is that the present Iranian government was directly involved in this illegal action. With the current President taking part in it. I think the US should demand an apology and not sit down until one is given.
Craig Rowley: "What have you got against the Bush administration coming to the table with all the parties present to engage in multilateral negotiations to try and solve the immediate situation - the standoff over Iran's nuclear program?"
Nothing. And this is taking place in the UN. You should be happy.
A mistake?
Jay White: "To a large extent Ms Rice has already made clear some past US policy was a mistake."
I haven't seen any statement by Ms Rice of that nature. Could you please point out where I it might be found so I wouldn't make the mistake of disbelieving you?
JW: "... I do not think the US should apologise for anything the Shah did wrong. That is down to him."
Mohammad Reza Pahlavi is dead Jay, so there's no mistaking his inability to make an apology.
You may have mistakenly misread my earlier comment, which was simply that an apology from the governments of nations that executed Operation Ajax could be helpful. Do you think it could be unhelpful?
JW: "... this is taking place in the UN. You should be happy."
Make no mistake Jay, this [multilateral negotiations involving all the parties coming to the same table] is not taking place. If it were I'd be happy.
The Bush administration has said it will not sit down at any table with a representative of Iran, whether it is with the EU3 and Russia and China or anyone else in attendance. The Bush administration has refused previous requests for it to send a US official to attend and participate in the multi-party talks that had EU3 and Iranian officials in attendance.
Ah yes, Slaughter and destruction are ethical
No Jay, I did not mean those that have fled to Iran and Syria waiting for the time to return and cause havoc --- according to you.
As for the repetitious claim that the Sunnis and Shiites hate each other ...
Why then the wide spread intermarriage, with the lessor, but still significant intermarriage with the Kurds?
Yes, extremists are murdering Sunnis and Shiites but is that hatred or simply a method of ensuring that discord and chaos reigns? And who stands to benefit?
C Parsons, Lebanon wasn't doing to badly until the Israelis decided to smash things up.
But then look at the mess the Palestinians are making of things. Any reasonable being would simply ignore the murder and destruction being inflicted on an almost daily basis and get on with life, wouldn't they?
And fancy electing a government in free and fair elections without first asking Israel and the US if it was okay to do so. Or if they approved.
The beginning of the end
Lets have a look at how the Iranian President's best mate is doing
Now this is a nation enjoying record oil prices. What happens when that stops? Like all socialist dictatorships that have gone before it collapses. It is gutting it's entire education base. Maybe they could build a wall? It really is pathetic that people would cheer this insanity on. In ten years when we are sending the aid packages to a starving population it will no doubt be the fault of the US. The more things change the more they stay the same.
Socialism is a mixture of a evil mind and mental disturbance. The Swiss banking system will no doubt benefit from another broken country. All Australian MPs should avoid this man like the plauge and save themselves from much future embarrassment. Nobody if defeats the certainty of mathematics. All socialism is doomed to failure that is why it attacts failures.
Perhaps the Shia are not "normally" Iraqi?
Peter Hindrup: "While the ethicists believe that it is past time that the coalition withdrew from Iraq, opening the way for the Iraqis and their neighbours to begin the long and difficult job of rebuilding both the infrastructure and the trust necessary for the Middle East to function normally..."
Jay White: "If you have not noticed most of the killing is done by Iraqi against Iraqi."
Peter's statement is not so weird, Jay, if you allow for the possibility he doesn't include some of the factions engaged in the sectarian violence as part of his personal definition of what an Iraqi is. Resistance hero Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, you may recall, didn't even consider the Shia to be human, let alone Iraqi. Perhaps once the world's attention is diverted from Iraq, maybe when Kevin Rudd is Prime Minister and Hilary Clinton is Commander in Chief, and the Coalition has again abandoned the Kurds and Shia to their fates, then one side or the other in Iraq can completely exterminate its opposing factions?
Then, as Peter hopes, the survivors "can begin the long and difficult job of rebuilding both the infrastructure and the trust necessary for the Middle East to function normally."
To understand how the Middle East to functions "normally", you only need look to Lebanon. Or Iran.
Iranian crime
Craig Rowley, would an apology for the illegal Iranian embassy taking be helpful? I know how much people around here look up to international law for guidance. And this hostage-taking did break more then one of them. As well as a quiet a few basic understandings and conventions.
Actually the Iranian embassy was part of US soil. Its take over was an act of war. This convention is understood the world over. At least an apology and probably some form of compensation is long over due. Yet here we are talking about a few words Bush has used against the very same government involved in this internationally illegal activity.
C Parsons is correct. You have some front expecting the US to even entertain the thought of speaking to these criminals one on one, without at least an apology. "Most" embassy staff are merely civil servants attempting to do a job. Much of that job is daily routine stuff. They deserve protection and it is a part of international law and convention they receive it. This current Iranian government never offered that.
It would be helpful
Yes Jay, I do think an apology from the Iranian regime for not resolving the crisis caused by the seizure of the US Embassy in Tehran - an act concocted by Ebrahim Asgharzadeh in September 1979 - could be helpful.
So too could an apology from the governments of the United States and the United Kingdom for their roles in the illegal Operation Ajax. An apology for overthrowing the democratically elected nationalist cabinet of Iranian Prime Minister Mohammed Mossadegh in 1953 could be helpful and perhaps too some compensation for the suffering (including brutal torture) of Iranians under Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, Shah of Iran and the man who styled himself Aryamehr (Light of the Aryans).
Neither is likely to happen, at least not until the governments of these nations start talking to each other and start trying to normalise their future relations.
What have you got against the Bush administration coming to the table with all the parties present to engage in multilateral negotiations to try and solve the immediate situation - the standoff over Iran's nuclear program?
Ethics? Because one can spell them does not mean one has them
Peter Hindrup: "Eg: While the ethicists believe that it is past time that the coalition withdrew from Iraq, opening the way for the Iraqis and their neighbours to begin the long and difficult job of rebuilding both the infrastructure and the trust necessary for the Middle East to function normally, the criminals, piqued at not having got their hands on the untold wealth of which they dreamed, want to revenge themselves upon the defenceless Iraqis by slaughtering all who get in their path and destroying all of the meagre infrastructure that remains."
Well I think just leaving the place in the current condition would not be ethical. If you have not noticed most of the killing is done by Iraqi against Iraqi. And if you mean criminals I hope you mean those that have fled to Iran and Syria waiting for the time to return and cause havoc. There is pretty much nothing ethical you have written in the entire post.
Iran may follow North Korean agreement. Report.
Oh, dear. "Peace activists" everywhere will be devastated.
Torture. It's not what they do. It's who does it that matters.
Craig Rowley: "Talking about links Bob, did you see the not so fair and balanced source offered up as "evidence" for the unsupported claims made today about torture during the Iran hostage crisis?"
Angela Ryan: "BTW, with all that alleged suffereing of the hostages that C Parsons reminds of from so long ago, still some do anything for political power, even against their own people ...
So, suddenly a definition of "torture" depends not on what is done to a captive? But who does it? And when it is done? And who tells you about it? Why doesn't that surprise me?
The Ayranian president and the thuggish regime he serves can be personally involved in:
- but that is not torture. And anyway, it happened "long ago" (1980)?
On the other hand....
Nope. 1973 is not too "long ago". And that President is dead and the regime he served is long overthrown. Whereas the Ayranian torturer is actually now President of his state.
If gun-totin' mercenary David Hicks doesn't have his cell light switched off, it's "torture". If some Hamas bomb thrower is blindfolded, that's "torture". But oddly it's not torture when the Iranian government seizes dozens of US civilian embassy staff and ties them up for 444 days? Now that's a balanced, even handed view of things, isn't it?
Making faces
Angela, only just caught up with this. "I like the nose, how did you do that? :)"
Simple. : - Hyphen.
Hope that you pick up on it, as I see that you are off to, presumably further than the airport?
Left and right
Thanks Daniel for "Real evidence - get real!" Great to see some rational observation as opposed to righteous dogmatism on this thread!
Jay seems to be saying in "The left and ideas" that everyone who is not in favour slaughtering anyone, everyone who is sitting on resources which ‘we’ can put to better use, is a ‘leftie’, while all those who support the US/coalition/Israel are ‘righties'.
Seems to me that left and right in this sense lost all meaning after the fall of the Berlin Wall — if it in fact had any real meaning prior to that!
May I suggest that the WD editors consider banning the use of ‘left’ and ‘right’ and refer to those who believe that murder, rapine and plundering are justified practices if it enhances ‘our’ living standards, as criminals, and describe those of us who oppose that view as ethicists.
One of the benefits of such a policy would be the difficulty posed to those who now sneeringly refer to those who do not share their views as ‘lefties’, as if the word is of itself a disparagement.
Eg: While the ethicists believe that it is past time that the coalition withdrew from Iraq, opening the way for the Iraqis and their neighbours to begin the long and difficult job of rebuilding both the infrastructure and the trust necessary for the Middle East to function normally, the criminals, piqued at not having got their hands on the untold wealth of which they dreamed, want to revenge themselves upon the defenceless Iraqis by slaughtering all who get in their path and destroying all of the meagre infrastructure that remains.
That said, the problem of what to do in Iraq becomes much more manageable once one accepts that the problem is the invaders.
Putting aside for the moment the questions involving reparation, compensation for both personal injury and looted treasures of international significance, the ‘disappeared’ 20 odd billion that belongs to the Iraqis and the prosecutions of war criminals for war crimes — with the invaders outed the Middle east has to begin the long road to ‘normality’.
It is of no consequence that the ousting the invaders ‘looks like a loss for the US.’ Hell, everybody knows that the whole criminal enterprise was a disaster from the conception. Everybody knows that the Iraq adventure has established beyond any doubt that the dying, rotting carcass of the US consists of nothing more than a mouthful of ugly and still dangerous teeth.
As for the wail that the US would lose credibility — what credibility?
The reality is that although Iraq’s neighbours may all like to take a slice, any move to do so could well bring the Iraqis together to defend what is theirs. And acquisitive as all Iraq’s neighbours may be, there must be a natural restraint imposed by the certainty that other Iraqi neighbours may take exception to the move, and the uncertainty of how they might respond.
In the harsh light of this reality it may well be that all Iraq’s neighbours reach the conclusion that a stable Iraq within the existing boundaries is in fact in their best interests.
This understanding could, I believe be reached in a very short time. At that point there only remains the problem of putting Israel back in its box, and however much various Middle East nations dislike, distrust or detest one another, these differences could well be put aside in the interest snuffing out Israel’s ability to foment discord.
A united Middle East, with the rest of the world paying the free market price for crude, the resource that properly belongs to the peoples of the Middle East. Now what could be fairer than that?
Paucity
Given the nature of the source, Craig, the responsible approach would be to find other material that supported the claim. So, on that basis, perhaps there was a paucity of such material. However, given that assertions have continued to be made despite material having been posted that, at minimum, disputes those assertions, then perhaps validating claims is not a priority. The recourse to the statements of members of the Bush Administration despite all the evidence of lies told - and continue to be told - should also be considered. I don't take it seriously but prefer to get on with the matters at hand.
Changes.
G'day Craig, thanks for the link - I threw the China question out there and back you came with some very helpful material. As does, as you noted, Trevor (G'day). Trevor also commented, in re his material, on the paucity of coverage in the Anglo media. That is not helpful in trying to gain a better understanding of issues.
On the substance of your link, Craig, it is again indicative of a reordering and growing cooperation between the states mentioned. The sentiments expressed in the "balanced and fair ..." passage are worthy. The unfairness that we have witnessed, and noted, has had a negative effect.
On the immediate issue, that this growing cooperation and combined with other factors such as mentioned in my previous post (Putin and Chirac) do indicate quite a tussle at the UNSC. And, if reality intrudes for even a moment, might give the Bush Administration pause for thought with the realisation that they might have major players arrayed against them in re further measures such as harsher sanctions.
Links
Talking about links Bob, did you see the not so fair and balanced source offered up as "evidence" for the unsupported claims made today about torture during the Iran hostage crisis? Amy Protor's blog!
Amy describes herself as "a proud ... Republican woman". Amy and her husband Johnny are members of the US military and, most tellingly, Amy makes it clear that:
Must have been a paucity of links providing some pointer to "fair and balanced" sources with real evidence to back the claim.
Back on the immediate issue, I reckon you are correct ... though I think we'll still see a push by the Bush administration for more punitive sanctions.
Real evidence - get real!
It has always amused me, this insistence that 'real' evidence be provided for every assertion or opinion expressed on WD. It's as if no one is allowed to have an original thought, one perhaps based on inductive reasoning or lateral thinking. It appears we can only have a legitimate thought if someone else has expressed it before or has offered some proof.
How then have we progressed from trees to caves to villages to cities when little or no knowledge or evidence was available? I guess when people thought the world was flat and some upstart came along with an opposing view, they probably shouted, "Where's your evidence, yokel? Who, of importance, has said thee is right!"
How did we invent the atom bomb, that crowning achievement of mankind! Did someone read about the idea in a magazine or was it the product of original thought?
I guess that the assertion that America is going to use nuclear weapons on Iran shouldn't be put forward until Iran is actually bombed because no one can provide definitive evidence or a link. By then it will be too late.
Surely links should only be of importance to those who play golf. And incontrovertible evidence seems to have more relevance in a Court of Law.
Get Real?
It will really be 'amusing' if the UN Security Council (or Bush acting unilaterally) authorise strikes on Iran on the basis of the neocons' lateral thinking and nothing else, will it Daniel?
The neocons were quite right to invade Iraq, and should have done so completely unchallenged by anybody, on the basis of their WMD claim being the product of original thought?
Daniel, surely you've noticed that I've suggested in What if ...? that it would be a good thing for us to share some original thinking on peaceful solutions to a problem. I'm all for innovation. However, I'll question any assertion of 'fact' that looks suspect, anyone who seems to be 'inventing the facts', and I'll also respectfully consider anything that's put forward to support such assertions.
To me this is not about changing anyone else's opinion on any issue, it's about informing myself so I can shape my own opinions. To me C Parsons made claims today that are suspect. I assume C Parsons wouldn't be upset by my request for some evidence. He's asked me for evidence of things I've asserted (as well as for things I haven't). If he points me in the direction of something much better than a blog by a clearly biased pro-war protestor, then I'll have learned he's not 'inventing the facts' with his claim today and I'll have benefited by asking for his evidence.
A little look at the aims and options
HI Craig. It is strange how some warmongerors condemn the peace overtures by Iran in 2003 as old history and not relevant now while others busy trying to dehumanise and vilify and build upon old hates, like the Old Old Old Iranian Embassy seige - now which guy held off setttling that so Carter lost votes in his presidential election? That wasn't very nice was it ? BTW, with all that alleged suffereing of the hostages that C Parsons reminds of from so long ago, still some do anything for political power, even against their own people ...
Then I guess if we have to go back to the hostage crisis. Maybe we should go back to the overthrow of the elected government in Persia - phew said the US /UK oil companies at the time - and imposition of the Shah and his reign of terror. Did you like that little bit of interventionalist policy C Parsons? Reminds one of Allende a bit. Same Mob Family no doubt.
That is why the US, unfortunately, has such a bad reputation amongst those who actually read history, and even worst amongst those who had to experience it. The major executive institutions, while not actually holding anyone senior to account have tried to correct this by insisting upon congressional oversight, but my understanding is that this only applies to CIA and not the covert military black op units, nor private contractors and proxy govt units. Any one know?
Jay is right, there must be careful consideration of what action the US and the world should take from here. (BTW, Jay, I had not meant you when I said obtuse, it was a generalised statement and improper, sorry, all are entitled to express their view in a free world without personal derision).
So first one must ask what exactly is the situation (we only know what we read here in Aus), how did it get so bad, and what is the actual aim?
Many blame Bremmer and his disbanding of the Baathists (despite General Petreous having just paid them all a fat sum and confident they were happy at that point).
[extract]
Some blame the actual tactics and weaponry used in the war to create hatred against the invaders - one cannot expect a welcome when excessive force and modern Napalm is used upon conscripts and civilians and heavy bombardment of civilian areas and the terrorising of neighbourhoods with house to house attacks and shootings of the residents. The failure to prevent the looting despite specific warnings especially of the museum of antiquities is shameful and damages prestige of the US. Also antagonising the power leadership left after Saddam is fraught with dangers, like Al Sadr and Dawa and Sciri etc and calling their spiritual backers your enemies ... Iran. It would have been wiser to form alliances and friendships with all for now.
Iran helped with Afghanistan and probably helped with mopping up the terrorists like MEK. Why the US did not destroy MEK but instead rearmed them is a mystery if one wants to keep the peace. They may very well be the ones causing the nastiest terror attacks against civilians as this would fit with their aims. Local resistance never attack their own backers.
Having the elections while continuing to attack many Sunni areas like Fallujah and al Qaim etc made these areas unvoting and the whole system a farce. I note the international observers did so from Jordan due to security failure. Locals know a farce. More visible deception and thus sewing of distrust. The Iraqi flag saga was unbelieveable. Did anyone else see the new flag that was to be imposed before sanity prevailed? LOL. Oh and don't forget the Christian prosetylisers - a real doooozie there. Very culturally sensitive. It was almost as if some wanted anarchy and resistance from the start. Perhaps some did.
The aim is the problem too. What is the aim of the military action? Yes to remove Saddam, all are in unity there, but then what????? Then one sees diversity in aims.
Is the aim an independent democratic secular Iraq? The first vote and removal of the more secular Sunni vote, leaving the more austere Shiite, helped put that idea on the dustbin. Bye-bye women's rights. And independent did not mean US bases out, ahem, but again voting means that will be required due to the unfriendly actions above and the wish for freedom as all have (and perhaps the backing of Iran et al).
Another aim? An empire bastion? Expect resistance. Expect others also to sabotage that who feel threatened by US secure base in Iraq....I can think of about 5 nations who would not want that, at least...
A divided spoils ? Balkanisation? The independent Kurds for Israel and Haifa oil, the Sourthern Basra for UK and oil (but ,oh oh, Iran has a say there....as well as for the Kurdish regions) and a Sunni centre for Saudi Wahhabist control, the latter perhaps piping their oil to the Mediterranean too while gaining power in the Islamic world with Iran gone as the counter. US long Vietnamed out ...
This is probably what would happen violently after a while if US forces moved out. Some tried to do it more or less politically after 2003 but Turkey, Syria and Iran said Nyet to an independent Kurdistan etc. Turkey is repeately recently threatening to militarily deal with Kurdish militia in Iraq. They are probably a bit tired of their oil flows going up in smoke .
Thus one must decide, what is the long term aim? Then and only then can proper careful action be thought out and happen.
So what is the actual aim for the current plans? They both sound superficial political game plans to me. Those who support troops in, why? What are they to do? Sounds more of the same along the lines of building hate as the first war efforts did as I mentioned already. In that article that I linked the warhorses recommend ruthless action ... ah-huh, repeatedly quoting Vietnam as example, LOL. And those who say troops out, why? What will happen, will it be worse or better, will there be central government or divided amongst the neighbours like booty in anarchy and genocide?
While it is true that a huge mess has been made of Iraq and it is not all the US fault. But it is time wisdom, not petty political foolishness, ruled.
If the resistance is indeed preventing proper government by the US proxy in Iraq, and if indeed there is no secutiry except in the Green Zone and the US is losing so many aircraft each week with no military gains on the ground, then a time may come when the aim for secular gov and Empire is abandoned. That leaves Balkanisation. I suspect that Iran would be seen to thwar the aims of Britain and Israel should Iraq be divided up and Balkanised, so I suspect that one reason the two nations are supporting attacking Iran despite the huge risk to the latter.
Thus Britain, Israel and the US have the chance for oil of Iraq/Kurdistan and Iran should the gamble pay off.
Of course, no one would go to war over oil and regional control would they?
Walked right into that one
Craig Rowley: 'In fact, Bush Administration officials have always emphasised that "all options are on the table."..."
They'd be stupid not to. And only the wilfully blind could have failed to notice that George W Bush, Condi Rice and Bob Gates have over and over and over said they have no intention of attacking Iran.
Craig Rowley: "The Bush administration refused to participate directly in the negotiations that the EU3 had opened with Iran. The Bush administration persistently refused to come to the table and participate itself."
That's because Iran broke off diplomatic relations with the USA when the Islamist regime sacked the US Embassy in Tehran and took the embassy staff hostage for over a year and a half.
It is staggering that anyone would imagine that the Americans should be expected to do business according to normal diplomatic protocols with the very perpetrators of what was technically an act of war directed against US civilian embassy personnel, simply in order to provide Iran with yet more opportunities for a propaganda advantage.
Craig Rowley: "C Parsons claims the US nationals were tortured when held hostage in Iran between November 4, 1979 and January 20, 1981. I understand there was no torture."
So, blindfolding and publicly humiliating civilian hostages isn't torture when Iran does it? But is, I am sure, if Israel or the US Marines blindfolded and detained an Islamist terrorist suspect? For example, David Hicks? By the way, here's picture of the young Mahmoud Ahmadinejad parading a blindfolded American hostage in 1979 during the hostage crisis in Tehran.
Craig Rowley: "The "evidence" of this alleged "call [by Mahmoud Ahmadinejad] for destruction [of Israel ] is disputed."
Not by any credible, even remotely impartial observer. Imagine if the USA took Iranian diplomats at the UN in New York hostage, blindfolding and parading them, holding them as hostages for 444 days, George W Bush personally humiliating the captives before the world's media, calling for Iran to be "wiped from the pages of history", supplying bombs to dissidents inside Iraq and and then demanding that Iran conduct normal diplomatic business with the USA. What unbelievable arrogance and folly.
Must stand the ground on what is the right thing
The US should not bargain with Iran one on one. This would be a mistake. When it comes to Iran they are in the correct postion. They should not have made a bargain with North Korea.
The aid (bribe) will be used and then the same thing will occur again. A person that lives in luxury as the NK leader whilst his population is starving is not somebody one should deal with. You cannot deal with a blackmailer. They simply come back wanting more and more every time.
People can stick up for places such as Cuba, North Korea, Iran etc. The truth is outside of a keyboard warrior rhetoric none are heading off to live in any of these places. The Western capitalist way of doing things is the best way of doing things. It has been proven time and time again.
I can say this over and over again without flinching. And I am 100% correct. The decision made by Bush and Co to stand up to tyrants will be proven the right decision in the future. I have little doubt about that. Leaders stand up to people and follow through with what is right even if not always popular. Giving in never wins respect.
If America gives in to these two bit hustlers and gangsters it will be something that it comes to regret.
Two bit hustlers and gangsters!
But, Jay, surely Bush is a two-bit hustler and the Neocons are gangsters bigtime (or so I've always thought until you came along). Funny thing is that 90% of the world agrees with me plus 70% of Americans. How come we're all wrong? Where do you get your information from: the White House?
The US should stand its ground
Craig Rowley: "In fact, Bush Administration officials have always emphasised that "all options are on the table."
Yes, and so they should. I cannot recall any American administration, ever, taking options off a table before a negotiation. In fact to do so would be total irresponsibility.
Craig Rowley: "When the Bush administration offers to come to a regional security roundtable and offers to negotiate taking its military strike option "off the table", negotiates that outcome and announces that security agreement, then, and only then, will C Parsons have the evidence to back his claim."
Garbage. Iran will either seek weapons or it will not. Iran has never been attacked by either Israel or the USA. Taking options off the table will not help this issue one bit. What happens if Iran tells everyone to take a flying jump? Has this possibility ever entered your head? Do you even think about alternative possibilities? Do other options then jump back on a table?
Craig Rowley: "He echoes what he's heard from the Bush administration yet we still haven't seen the evidence to back the claims. We haven't been shown the evidence."
At least as much evidence, more so in fact, than your evidence alluding to an up-coming US attack.
I pray that this final push in Iraq achieves something for the long suffering Iraqi people. Most of whom are no doubt good people. I hope this leads to at least some calm in the region. And I hope that Iranians begin to see the sham government they have for what they are and what road they will be lead down. They are already well on the road to economic ruin.
All decent people will be hoping for success I am sure. And it's good to see Richard Tonkin holding similar sentiments.
C Parsons: "Well, it's where his family lives, so that's understandable. And where his boss has his office, after all."
Yeah, well, I would prefer to avoid the calls for proof. Seems all things with Iran demand an absolute level of proof that does not seem to extend to either Israel or the USA, or for that matter to Australia.
I am from the old school. A true leader stands and fights for what he believes. He does not abandon his post when the going gets tough. Perhaps his followers should look for a new leader.
Speak up at front - and stop mumbling.
Jay White: "I note Mr Sadr has fled to Iran."
Well, it's where his family lives, so that's understandable. And where his boss has his office, after all.
I have the rare distinction of having met someone who once went to one of Moqtadr's sermons. My informant, a fluent Arabic speaker, said Moqtadr's sermons are hard to follow because of his thick Persian accent. According to what my friend said, at one point in the sermon an acolyte had to step to the microphone to elucidate on some phrase the chubby firebrand was trying to annunciate. "Ohhh," said the congregation nodding appreciatively as the point was finally clarified. Moqtadr then stepped forward again to pick up where he left off.
It would be as if Bob Brown spoke with a thick Cuban accent and periodically went to Havana to pick up his paycheck and backslap Raul Castro while visiting the family. And nobody here thought that a bit odd.
Solution-give everyone a homeland
Perhaps, Jay, you could get the ball rolling by suggesting how to bring peace to the Middle East? Nobody else seems to be able to find one without too-costly ramifications.
I can't see that there is a solution, but surely there must be a lateral one that has yet been undiscovered.
You've probably noticed that I like SF. One of my favourite authors, Julian May, worked from a world-view of creating ethnocentric planets where folks could immerse themselves in their own culture, while the home planet was homogenised.
If someone like Hawking gets his/her sh*t together and cracks interstelar travel we have half a chance of finding enough planets to terraform (nanotechs?) to create homelands for everyone.
Until then we're stuck with ethnocentric conflagrations that have been intensified by misguided interference.
Mind you, the universal outlawing of nuclear weaponry might go a long way towards toning things down.
Yes, I know it sounds pie-in-the-sky, but if there's no solution available we're going to have to invent one.
PS I learned a new pool-table trick yesterday, tried it out on a few people. You place a queue across the middle of the table, and invite the mug to hit the ball under said queue without it being interfered with in any way and without the white ball coming into contact with it. Can't be done, people say. You then hit the ball into a pocket so that it travels under the queue via the chute below. The naysayer then buys you a beer.
PPS Mostly agree with your sentiments on the "final push". Still, we shouldn't have arrived at this point of brinkmanship.
Good luck brave men and women
I see that the "final push" in Iraq is about to get underway. I think all people of good will hopes for it to be successful.
It is the duty of all caring decent people to get in behind our troops. The vast majority of which are fine young men and women doing their best to complete an extremely difficult assignment. One that will cost some of these fine people their lives. Hopefully not all in vain. For Iraqi democracy I feel this really is the last throw of the dice.
There is no winners if this final effort fails. Only criminals and murderers. If one does not like the local copper one does exact revenge by plunging the whole town and everybody in it chaos and violence.
I note Mr Sadr has fled to Iran. A strange thing for a "leader" and a man of courage. One would think with "God on his side" he would choose to fight it out to the end. Probably the Iran fleeing is the same logic that says "leaders" never actually become suicide bombers.
A sad situation for humanity indeed.
Diplomacy - Iranian style. And holidays with the folks at home.
Craig Rowley, your suggestion that the USA, in relation to Iran, should "Explore all the non-military means; making full, direct, positive participation in multilateral negotiations a must" is ironic given that;
Can you some some latitude for Ayranian diplomatic initiative there? I can.
By the way, wasn't it funny to see Moqtadr run back to his headquarters in Iran for RR and further instructions. The lying freaks running Ayran cannot even find the guts to admit he's there.
C Parsons' claims; where's the evidence to back 'em up?
C Parsons claims: "The current US administration has repeatedly and emphatically stated that it has no intention of taking any military action against Iran whatsoever."
In fact, Bush Administration officials have always emphasised that "all options are on the table."
When the Bush administration offers to come to a regional security roundtable and offers to negotiate taking its military strike option "off the table", negotiates that outcome and announces that security agreement, then, and only then, will C Parsons have the evidence to back his claim.
C Parsons claims: "That the USA has ... repeatedly stated that 'Iran must negotiate with the three European powers that have led nuclear diplomacy since the Iranian nuclear program became public in 2002'.
The evidence shows that the Bush administration stated that Iran must negotiate with the EU3. The Bush administration refused to participate directly in the negotiations that the EU3 had opened with Iran. The Bush administration persistently refused to come to the table and participate itself. It made the EU3 play piggy in the middle and it still views its own participation in negotiation as some kind of 'reward'.
C Parsons claims the US nationals were tortured when held hostage in Iran between November 4, 1979 and January 20, 1981. I understand there was no torture. I'd like to see C Parson's evidence for the claim that there was torture.
C Parsons claims Iran has "called for the destruction of a key US ally in the Middle East". His propagation of the 'map meme' has been extensively covered on the Cease Fire! thread. The "evidence" of this alleged "call for destruction" is disputed.
C Parsons claims that Iran "supplies weapons to Islamist Militias in Iraq targetting US forces there". With this he echoes the claims of the Bush administration (which are disputed by some other US officials). He echoes what he's heard from the Bush administration yet we still haven't seen the evidence to back the claims. We haven't been shown the evidence.
Anyone got any ideas, about anything?
Bob Wall rather then constantly tell us all about past years, how about giving us a guide to the future? What is going to happen if the US leave Iraq say this year? I mean the world cannot go on forever referring to the Bush speech of 2002 now, can it?
No planned military action on Iran, but you already know this
Craig Rowley, the USA is already following every point you have made. There is no plan to attack Iran. And without UN sanction (which you seem to seek at every turn) it will not be possible to attack Iran.
This whole topic has become political and anti-American. For some here anti-American sentiment is a way of life. It will not be changing on the election of a new President. Your problem seems more along the lines of simply wanting to see the end of Bush.
Now the problem is that the same with Iraq, Iran is a bigger issue than just Bush. Either the world allows them to have these weapons (in which case a arms race will surely commence) or it does not. And as I have pointed out previously Iran is a lot closer to other places than say North America is.
Obama and his policy on Iraq are wrong. And Howard was right to point this out. 9/11 (and no I am not saying they are related) happened shortly into Bush's term. The actual Bin Laden footage had them shooting at a picture of Clinton. If these people are allowed to run riot things will not get better they will become much worse.
Now your belief in running about "making nice" with false flattery etc may work in a small workplace dispute. It will not work on the world stage of highly charged regional politics. Many of these people have a rock solid position and will attempt to make it know at all costs. And the US like most of the civilised western world does not have a position in it. And yes, that includes Western liberals.
Obama is young. Now whether he believes his position or whether, like Rudd, he has simply tried for base political reasons, he has proven he is not ready to be President. It is perhaps the toughest job in the world and one where 50% of the world is going to dislike you at any one time. You simply cannot be all things to all men.
An American withdrawal (looking like defeat) will be a disaster for not only them, but also Australia. If Kosovo has proven anything it is that without US help the world is powerless to stop many things. In fact, without US help the UN will struggle to function.
People wishing for an Iraqi withdrawal must spell out how they see Iraq and indeed the world after such withdrawal. I predict if this is to happen a US return mission to this region within ten years. And a much bigger war.
Anyhow, I have struggled away here for months trying to get my points across. I now see that I have little chance. To many people have their positions anchored to what ever the hell it is they believe (anti US, or base politics). Having Bob Wall entering the thread as a de facto cheerleader for any anti US statement is the final straw. It is obvious this discussion is going nowhere and will not go anywhere.
In ten years time the world cannot keep going back to what Bush did and said in 2002. They will have to deal with the issues as they arise. I would advise any future President to not worry about Bush but rather what at least the next term will be bringing them.
George Bush - saying it with flowers
My God. If the same logic (what is more heinous - knowledge or lack thereof) that Bush uses in dealing with Iranian upper-echelon involvement in providing weapons in Iraq was applied to the AWB scam, Howard, Downer and Vaile would be in deep trouble.
At any rate, you can see where this is heading ... a neocon belief that Iran needs to be dealt with before they provide nukes to Iraqis.
Bush's IQ seems to be slipping again. Catch the bit where he refuses to answer a journo's question but then allows him another with the line "I will recycle you." After the laughter, he asks "Did you like that one?" and then later refers to the episode as "deft" handling.
If this is the level of deftness with which he's handling Iran....
Full transcript of Bush's Valentine's Day speech here.
Players.
G'day Craig, Angela, Richard, amongst others, and making a special mention of Trevor for his very interesting post. The reports of discussions and suspicions of President Chirac having an involvement are factors to be considered when looking towards the next step in the Iran issue.
On previous Swiss involvement - here is another report on the 2003 approach.
Although two links are given in the above paragraph they are the one and same document.
More on Putin and Russia from K. Gajendra Singh.
Chirac, Putin, from two states that are Permanent Members of the UNSC. Further deliberations by that body on Iran should be very interesting.
And what of China?
Re: Players
G'day Bob, no doubt that China will be a key player in UNSC deliberations on the issue of Iran's nuclear energy program. Lately China, Russia and India have been discussing a 'fair and balanced multi-polar world order'.
Trevor Kerr (G'day) continues his fine form in sharing what are often, IMHO, the most interesting links to explore. That it was the People's Daily carrying the news of the Iranian negotiation proposal conveyed via the Swiss caught my eye.
Strange that our 'fair and balanced' local mainstream media haven't picked up that news yet.
A Valentine's Day Song For Jay White
Last night I had the strangest dream
The nations grouped to say
The leaders of the War Of Lies
shall not speak here today.
Put them into cells until
the world can make amends
Let those who work out what to do
be bonded as good friends
Perhaps some common goals may come
and thinking minds converge
while the gluttons of war go hungry
as they sing their evil dirge
Peace may be within our reach
within our heart and mind
But while these bastards rule the war
what hope can have mankind?
Last night I had the strangest dream
The nations grouped to say
The leaders of the War Of Lies
shall not speak here today.
(with apologies to Ed McCurdy)
The left and ideas
Anyone got any ideas about what should happen in regards to Iraq?
Or is this board a mindless whinge session that is political in content and basically adds nothing?
If anyone out there thinks America should withdraw, what happens then?
The left are followers not leaders. Without someone telling them what to do they would be completely lost. Anyone merely has to read this pages to see how bereft of anything even resembling an idea.
Kevin Rudd has no idea's either. He simply refuses to answer the question of what will happen. Pathetic. And this person is looking to lead a nation. Pathetic.
Who knows what you think?
Craig Rowley: "See the real problem is that the only person around here thinking the problem was what C Parsons says it was – is C Parsons!"
Well I think the real problem is that a person would need Stephen Hawking type intelligence to work out what you believe. Half your time is spent writing what you say you have not said. Then using the other half telling us all exactly what you say, you have not said.
Would it be possible for you to write out in point form what you actually think the US should be doing about Iran? And actually sticking to it?
What about a sitcom with a happy but clumsy Iranian nuclear worker, a zany unlikable western liberal twat and the Iranian President all locked in a room together with a bottle of scotch, one gun and one bullet? I am cheering the western liberal gets it first.
Who knows why you can't work it out?
Jay White: "Well I think the real problem is that a person would need Stephen Hawking type intelligence to work out what you believe."
I believe you're implying that the real problem here is you're not like Stephen Hawking, Jay.
JW: "Half your time is spent writing what you say you have not said. Then using the other half telling us all exactly what you say, you have not said."
I believe that your calculation there goes a long way toward proving you are not like Stephen Hawking, Jay. I also believe you've just shown that you haven't read most of what I've written.
JW: "Would it be possible for you to write out in point form what you actually think the US should be doing about Iran?"
Ok, I actually think the current US administration, with regard to their standoff with Iran, could start with these three simple steps:
1. Settle a policy position. I believe, having examined the evidence (as set out in my Cease Fire! post), that the Bush Administration has been characterised by an intense internal battle between extremist, shortsighted, overconfident, neocon 'hawks' and moderate conservative 'doves'. I think the hawks should be kept well away from policy making on Iran.
2. Make non-military means to resolution the key principle of the policy position. Need I run through the disastrous consequences of letting the hawks keep hold of the policy reigns? Look at their 'success' in Iraq so far.
3. Explore all the non-military means; making full, direct, positive participation in multilateral negotiations a must.
More broadly I think that the US - as in the American polity - could be doing the following to help bring about a solution to this standoff:
1. Look closely and objectively at all the evidence from each and every source available. Don't believe the hype - this time.
2. Support each and every effort to re-establish the checks and balances of your political system so that a desperate President can't act like a dictator and put into effect a dangerous directive that will create a disaster again.
3. Make it known that you want your government to settle a policy position on Iran that places non-military means to securing a solution to this standoff the central guiding principle and advocate full, direct, positive participation in multilateral negotiations at every opportunity.
JW: "And actually sticking to it?"
I always have and always will.
JW: "What about a sitcom with a happy but clumsy Iranian nuclear worker, a zany unlikable Western liberal twat and the Iranian President all locked in a room together with a bottle of scotch, one gun and one bullet? I am cheering the Western liberal gets it first?"
You want to produce it? Write your sitcom script and submit it for publication. If it's good enough ...
Stephen Hawing-type intelligence
[AP via ABC-US]
I know WMD and 9/11 are so passee these days, but I it should amaze me that society is not revolting against its deceptive leaders for committing our endeavours, and potentially bringing on Jihad vs Crusade as a consequence.. Not that it does. As long as Mum gets a few bucks off her child care bill, Mr Howard is still laughing all the way to the bank.
Socialism
Angela Ryan: "I was trying to point out to Jay that it is the US, with their continuing upward spiralling debt, that has the lack of time and pressure to "pull their horns in", not oil secure, positive payments Iran."
Do you have any proof, any at all? That the Iranian economy is good shape? Or do you think constantly repeating it over and over will magically make it so?
I have no desire to debate the virtues or (lack of) of socialism. It is failed miserable system spruiked by those that have never lived under it. Pushed by those who wish to "get theirs" and have little ability to get it any other way except bludge off others.
I depise and loath it with a passion and do not respect people that believe in it. A soul destroying alternative religion that is as morally bankrupt as those that push it. Frankly if I had my way any that believe in it, I would like to swap with a equal amount of people who wish to leave, say, that bankrupt sickening system in Cuba.
The problem with free speech is having to listen to the losers that put it to use, time and time and time again.