Jürgen Stark,
currently Vice President of the Deutsche Bundesbank, has been nominated to join
the board of the European Central Bank later this month.
by Jürgen Stark
The
international monetary and financial system has witnessed tremendous change over
the recent decades. Rapid expansion in cross-border capital flows, continued
financial innovation, and deepening financial markets pose increasing challenges
not only for national policy makers, but also for international financial
institutions. This has been particularly true of the IMF as it seeks to serve
its global membership, and it has triggered a critically important discussion of
the Fund’s strategic direction.
The IMF’s current strategic review does
not start from scratch. The reform process was launched at the end of the 1990’s
and was continued by former Managing Director Horst Köhler with important
initiatives. These initiatives – particularly efforts to strengthen the IMF’s
surveillance function and the so-called “exceptional access framework” – must
now be locked in and implemented consistently.
For example, the
introduction of standards and codes, reports on their observation (ROSC’s),
Financial Sector Assessment Programs (FSAP’s), and the resulting increase in the
Fund’s transparency might contribute to an improvement of bilateral, regional,
and multilateral surveillance. The exceptional access policy, which seeks to
both enhance the predictability of the Fund’s lending policy and to safeguard
its financial position, is still waiting for its first real test.
But
the world needs to look beyond even these issues. The IMF’s management shares
many strategic considerations repeatedly raised by the Bundesbank, which has
argued that the Fund should limit its activities to its core mandate: promoting
monetary and financial stability. Thus, the IMF’s role in the international
monetary system should not go beyond applying its key instruments for promoting
macroeconomic stability: surveillance and economic policy advice.
In
fact, these two instruments should go hand in hand as the IMF’s internal reforms
continue. Increasing analytical focus and improving transparency by providing
comprehensive advice and timely information would serve to strengthen
surveillance further.
By contrast, an IMF that attempted to act, say, as
an international umpire of national exchange-rate policies would face
insurmountable implementation and acceptance problems. Similarly, positioning
the IMF as a general risk insurer by introducing precautionary credit lines
above normal access limits would be compatible neither with its mission to
provide financial assistance on deliberately non-risk-adjusted terms nor with
the current system of refinancing short-term Fund credit through risk-free
official reserves. Only in true balance-of-payments crises should the IMF stand
ready to provide limited temporary financial assistance to member countries,
thereby encouraging their own policy adjustments and signaling this commitment
to the markets.
Nor is becoming a development institution consistent with
the Fund’s mission. Development financing should be left to the World Bank. By
concentrating on their specific comparative advantages in line with clearly
defined mandates, both institutions will fulfill their tasks more efficiently.
Indeed, the implementation of the Multilateral Debt Relief initiated by
the G-8 already provides an unprecedented opportunity to complete the process of
debt relief for a large number of low-income countries. This also opens the way
for the IMF to dispose of its current diffusion of activity in low-income
countries and intensify its agenda in the areas of its core expertise.
Finally, adequate representation and the right of each member to have a
say in the Fund is a prerequisite of the legitimacy that the IMF needs to
fulfill its global role. The quota distribution should be guided by members’
economic weight and degree of integration into the global economy, and any quota
adjustments must be undertaken in a coherent manner that applies the same
standard for all countries. But, in order to maintain the creditor countries’
willingness to contribute to the Fund’s finances, a strong link must be
maintained between quotas, on the one hand, and voting rights, access to IMF
resources, and financial contributions on the other hand.
The issue of
representation is an important component of the IMF’s strategic review. However,
that review, and the reforms that follow from it, must be much more
comprehensive in order to benefit the Fund and all of its
members.
Copyright: Project Syndicate, 2006.
www.project-syndicate.org